Projects
AntifragiCity: Scalable model for antifragile urban mobility through real-time stressor detection, scenario simulation, citizen engagement, and adaptive governance.
ΚΕΥ FACTS
Duration : 36 Months
Budget : 3.5M€
Partners : 13
THE PROBLEM
Urban mobility systems today remain inherently fragile, often disrupted by both everyday issues such as traffic congestion, minor accidents, and adverse weather, as well as large-scale events like pandemics, floods, or geopolitical crises. These disruptions can significantly affect the functioning of cities, exposing the limitations of conventional planning methods, which typically lack the flexibility to anticipate and respond effectively.
Existing mobility frameworks tend to fall short in preparing for and managing such disruptions, underscoring the urgent need for more adaptive and resilient approaches. AntifragiCity introduces a approach rooted in economics theory, antifragility, in order to lead cities to learn from disruptions, not just recover, but actively improve their mobility systems, becoming stronger and smarter through each challenge.
THE PROJECT
AntifragiCity aims to transform urban mobility governance by helping cities understand normal mobility patterns, detect deviations in near real-time, and simulate the effects of disruptions. By developing tools such as the Urban Event Ontology, the Mobility Triage Support System, and the SUMA simulation platform, the project supports risk assessment and adaptive responses for greater resilience and sustainability.
Through Living Labs in Larisa, Odessa, Bratislava and at AHEPA Hospital in Thessaloniki, the project engages citizens in co-creating solutions for local needs and long-term goals. AntifragiCity combines innovation, participation, and governance reform to deliver a scalable framework, KPIs, and tools for resilient mobility across Europe.
The main objectives of the AntifragiCity project are the following:
Identify and analyze current vulnerabilities in urban mobility systems to inform resilience-building strategies.
Develop a shared urban event ontology to classify disruptions and contextualize real-time data from sensors and social media.
Implement the SUMA platform to assess city resilience, test disruption scenarios, and recommend adaptive solutions.
Deploy a mobility triage framework and Decision Support System (DSS) to deliver real-time, targeted interventions during crises.
Establish Living Labs in pilot cities to co-create, test, and refine solutions with citizens and stakeholders in real-world environments.
Design a sustainable business model and policy framework to support long-term integration of antifragile mobility strategies across Europe.
Publish an urban mobility antifragility manifesto to motivate cities to transition to the project’s framework.
OUR ROLE
- Design and development of SUMA, a simulation tool helping cities assess and enhance transport network resilience during mobility crises.
- Development of the SUMA API, enabling interoperability with platforms like SUMO, Aimsun, and PTV Vissim to integrate antifragility into planning.
- Contribution to the Urban Events Ontology, for better classification of urban disruptions and real-time crisis response.
- Support to Living Labs in Larissa, Bratislava, and Odessa, demonstrating and evaluating antifragility solutions in real-world settings.
- Involvement in business model development and exploitation, helping cities and authorities apply the project’s results effectively.

